Monday, February 25, 2013

TBA 2013 Draft, Round 2 Review

What a wild 2nd round it was!  I always find the 2nd round to be the most fascinating.  Many times, the first round picks are obvious, but in the second round you have to be more knowledgeable or creative.  That being said, there were some true steals and and some outright "epic fails" (as my 4th grader would say).

All opinions are my own.  Direct your ire to me alone, and I'm pretty certain this will bring some ire.

  1. (MAC) Brett Anderson -- HOLY MOLEY!!!  This may be the greatest 2nd round pick in the history of the TBA.  Good Joe says:  he got a potential #1 SP here.  This is how you rebuild a team.  Bad Joe says:  everyone from pick #11 in the first round on down should be ashamed for passing him over.
  2. (BOW) Mike Fiers -- Good Joe says:  a pretty good 120+ innings here.  Bad Joe says:  not enough upside for a rebuilding team.
  3. (BRI) N. Aoki -- Good Joe says:  very useful OF to plug in to a team that may be the NL favorite.  This is what a "Win Now" pick looks like.  Bad Joe says:  this may be the best card you get out of Aoki.  Joe of Washington BoozeHounds says:  I am so glad he did not take Brandon Moss or Ruggiano here.
  4. (REN) J. Segura -- Good Joe says:  nice prospect pick-up for a team looking for middle infield help.  Bad Joe says:  that SS-4 is scary.
  5. (SPO) WY Chen -- Good Joe says:  solid pick, will work well in that stadium.  Bad Joe says:  Nothing much.
  6. (KC) B. Moss -- Good Joe says:  absolute monster card.  Bad Joe says:  if KC is planning to compete, nice pick.  Otherwise this is likely a wasted pick unless he's spun into a trade.  Expect his future to look alot like his pre-2012.
  7. (NAS) J. Ruggiano -- see #6, "B. Moss".  I give Ruggiano a little more chance at a future than Moss, but not much.
  8. (EVA) Brett Jackson -- Good Joe says:  Evanston got a home town favorite.  Bad Joe says:  What in Brett Jackson's profile at this point looks like a useful ML player?  If I had a dime for every guy who stunk and then reworked his swing and still stunk...
  9. (SEA) Drew Smyly -- Good Joe says:  Seattle clearly has a plan to chuck LHPs at every hitter in his spacious stadium and it could work.  Bad Joe says:  if I squint, I can see a future #4 SP.
  10. (SEA) Everth Cabrera -- Good Joe says:  best SS available in a weak field after Simmons.  Very useful player in a platoon against RHP.  Bad Joe says nothing bad about Seattle, but Hey London!   This is the SS you should have drafted to compete this year.
  11. (ORE) Erik Kratz -- Good Joe says:  Carlos Ruiz is suspended...  OK, I got nothing here.  Bad Joe says:  Clearly the O. Hudson pick of last year was completely forgotten.  I am reminded of a famous Mel Kiper line about the Colts during an NFL draft:  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZvXm0HTWeyY (advance to 2:26 in the clip).  Bob, blow that team up and rebuild or keep enjoying 75-win seasons.
  12. (LON) A. Hechavarria -- Good Joe says:  here'a slick-fielding SS.  Bad Joe says:  didn't you just draft this guy in the first round?  What's the point?  Does he even use a bat when he goes to the plate?
  13. (LON) T. Rosenthal -- Good Joe says:  nice pick up, especially if he gets a spot in the rotation.  Bad Joe says:  no help for this year.
  14. (REN) H. Pence -- Good Joe says:  Possible bounce-back.   Somewhat useful OF.  Bad Joe says:  not sure this is the guy to build with.  I thought Reno was trying to trade excess OFs.  Joe of Washington BoozeHounds says:  I often don't understand Rich's game-plan but he constantly kicks my posterior so I give him the benefit of the doubt.
  15. (SAN) Matt Carpenter -- Good Joe says:  Finally!  Someone picks a player that will really help his team this season.  Carpenter has a great card against RHP and plays competent 3B.  Bad Joe says:  I'm not sure if he keeps hitting like that.
  16. (LON) Anthony Gose -- Good Joe says:  He's fast and plays on Paul's home-country team.  Bad Joe says:  Are we in the 5th round already?  This guy may not even play much in the majors this year.
  17. (NAS) Josh Rutledge -- Good Joe says:  I like this pick.  Solid value for a rebuilder and looks to be Colorado's starting 2B.  Bad Joe says:  Take a walk once in awhile Josh!
  18. (LON) D. O'Day -- Good Joe says:  Finally a guy that can help London make a playoff push *this* year.  Bad Joe says:  It's about time.
  19. (VB) S. Diamond -- Good Joe says:  Fills out the back end of rotation with competent innings.  Bad Joe says:  I think there was more value available in a good RP since VB is currently lacking much of a bullpen.
  20. (MAC) W. Castillo -- Good Joe says:  Nice catching prospect that should start in Chicago this year.  Bad Joe says:  I'd like this pick more if another prospect catcher wasn't the taken on the very next pick by the same rebuilding team.  Seems like duplication.
Winners:
  1. Mackinaw:  Getting Brett Anderson there was a total steal.  Well done.
  2. San Antonio:  Matt Carpenter is a very useful piece for a good team this year.
  3. Oahu, Washington, Claysburg, and Napa:  No picks this year in the 2nd, so no chance to screw up.
Losers:
  1. London:  London has a very good team this year and a chance to make a splash in the playoffs, but three out of the four picks in this round were spent on futures, including two reaches (Hechevaria and Gose).  There is a time to make a "WIN NOW" pick and this was your time.  It's a big opportunity lost.
  2. Oregon:  A 160 PA backup catcher in the mid-second round is a total waste.  It's the second year in a row Oregon burned an early pick on a bit piece that could have been had rounds later.
  3. Evanston:  Brett Jackson should generate some buzz in Chicago... and a lot of strikeouts.

So that's it.  I was rough and blunt on a couple teams, but this league needs a jolt of competition.  The same 6-8 teams have winning records every year more or less.  Rebuilding a team requires some effort and study to get a foundation through the draft. 

Feel free to put your opinions about these picks, and maybe the fact that I shouldn't call other league members out, in the comments!

7 comments:

  1. I agree Joe, I usually luck into good draft picks. Hunter will hopefully be another example of this. I'm hoping to roll him for a 2nd or a 1st next year if he can get back to his .800 plus OPS marks. And I myself am not really sure what I am doing this year.

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  2. Good write up, Joe. The points you make, both positive and negative, are accurate and straight to the point for the entire round. I like the honesty, and I do understand the heat that comes my way.

    That Anderson pick should really help Mackinaw big time.

    The only thing I would contest would be Cabrera being the guy whom I should have drafted as my shortstop, but that's a matter of opinion; agree to disagree. I'm not at all saying I made the right choice by passing over Cabrera in the 1st, but I didn't see him as the clear cut better option to fill my need at shortstop.

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    1. Totally fair to disagree, just my opinions and I like Cabrera's card to compete more *this* year.

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    2. That makes sense. Admittedly I did not analyse those two cards at as much length as I should have. I guess I've been focused on rebuilding for so long that I allowed myself to believe I still needed to use some early picks on prospects (even risky projects) to infuse more youth and potential, and then go after some of the players to help me win this year, instead of taking the best cards available early on. Obviously the name of the game is to win, not to collect young players who might turn out ok while a window of opportunity opens up.

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  3. This is pretty cool. I wish more leagues would get this involved. Really makes things a lot more fun.

    I thought this was funny: " Good Joe says: Seattle clearly has a plan to chuck LHPs at every hitter in his spacious stadium"

    I laughed because Smyly is the 1st LH pitcher on my roster. :)

    (Joe Mundy)

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    1. Oops, I got you confused with Spokane because I know Larry (SPO) is from near Seattle and has played as Seattle in other league. I thought he took both WY Chen and Smyly this round.

      My mistake!

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  4. Finally got to read this...

    Awesome analysis! I hope the Good Joe/Bad Joe comes around again soon. Really entertaining and insightful.

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