Saturday, March 31, 2012
TBA 2012 Predictions: Vander Wal Division
Vander Wal Division
1) Oahu
The Glorious Wonders were denied a playoff spot for the first time in history last year and are determined to be back this season. It won't be easy. Oahu will have to compete with three other very good teams in the division and any one of them could take the division. Having said that, Oahu's pitching should put them over the top. Doug Fister, Josh Collmenter, and Guillermo Moscoso form the best top three in the league. Outspoken closer Jonathan Papelbon struggled last year but should bounce back nicely. Prince Fielder and Pablo Sandoval bring the power to the lineup while the two Ramirez's once again will split time at shortstop.
Projected Lineup:
C: Nick Hundley/AJ Pierzynski
1B: Prince Fielder
2B: Neil Walker/Angel Sanchez
3B: Pablo Sandoval
SS: Alexei Ramirez/Hanley Ramirez
LF: Bryan Peterson/Reed Johnson
CF: Alex Presley/Denard Span
RF: Garrett Jones/Carlos Quentin
Projected Rotation/Closer:
SP: Doug Fister
SP: Josh Collmenter
SP: Guillermo Moscoso
SP: Anibal Sanchez
SP: Tim Stauffer
CL: Jonathan Papelbon
2) Delaware Valley
The former Bartonville Bombers have moved over to the Lenny Harris League but their road back to the playoffs will not get any easier. Two time EML MVP and last year's Triple Crown Winner Adrian Gonzalez will continue to destroy pitching, even if he's never seen most of these guys before. Jose Reyes will continue to set the table for him and Hunter Pence will take the right handed power spot in the lineup. Starting pitching is the main problem here but even then the lineup should be enough to overcome that. Rookie Ivan Nova and Jair Jurrjens are expected to lead the team's staff with quality veteran arms behind them. The bullpen is lead by Sergio Santos and Sean Marshall and should provide a strong help when the starting pitching falters.
Projected Lineup:
C: John Jaso/Geovanny Soto
1B: Adrian Gonzalez
2B: Danny Espinosa
3B: Jerry Hairston/Ty Wigginton
SS: Jose Reyes
LF: Seth Smith/Jerry Sands
CF: Nyjer Morgan/Jayson Werth
RF: Hunter Pence
Projected Rotation/Closer:
SP: Ivan Nova
SP: Jair Jurrjens
SP: Brett Myers
SP: John Danks
SP: Roy Oswalt
CL: Sergio Santos
3) Reno
The Aces won 118 games last season but were rudely defeated in the first round of the playoffs by the eventual champion Bearcats. This year the team will not be as good but that doesn't change their goal of a TBA Championship. A strong lineup features such stars as Carlos Santana, Josh Hamilton, and Jay Bruce. The pitching staff is led by Tim Lincecum and Mat Latos. However the strength of the team is the bullpen. Jonny Venters, Jose Valverde, and Greg Holland make up the best relief trio in the TBA.
Projected Lineup:
C: Carlos Santana
1B: Nick Swisher
2B: Jamey Carroll
3B: Kevin Youkilis
SS: Marco Scutaro
LF: Chris Heisey/Melky Cabrera
CF: Josh Hamilton
RF: Jay Bruce
Projected Rotation/Closer:
SP: Tim Lincecum
SP: Mat Latos
SP: Ubaldo Jimenez
SP: Jeremy Guthrie
SP: Vance Worley
CL: Jose Valverde
4) Edgewater
Only a month into Rocko Caputi's ownership, Edgewater shocked the world last year by taking down the powerhouse Booze Hounds in the first round of the playoffs last season. Now they won't be able to take anyone by surprise. Post-season standouts Michael Bourn and JJ Hardy return to set the table for Ryan Howard and the newly acquired Alex Rodriguez. The pitching staff will return Trevor Cahill, Wandy Rodriguez, and Scott Baker. Koji Uehara once again is the main relief ace on the team. A wild card spot is once again in view for the Giants and a division title is not out of the question.
Projected Lineup:
C: Ramon Hernandez
1B: Ryan Howard
2B: Alexi Casilla/Maicer Izturis
3B: Alex Rodriguez
SS: JJ Hardy
LF: Bobby Abreu/Allen Craig
CF: Michael Bourn
RF: Kosuke Fukudome
Projected Rotation/Closer:
SP: Scott Baker
SP: Erik Bedard
SP: Wandy Rodriguez
SP: Trevor Cahill
SP: Anthony Swarzak
CL: Kyle Farnsworth
5) London
Last but not least in this four part preview is the London Badgers. The rebuilding of this team is coming nicely although they are not yet ready to compete. Mike Trout, the first overall pick in the draft, is still a year or two away from helping out the big club but just his presence on the team in enough to envision London winning a division title in the near future. They have also added Freddie Freeman, who was already named the starting first baseman for the team. Despite this they will struggle to score runs this season but a young nucleus is in place to turn this around. You can't talk about London without mentioning their starting pitching. Even in a year where the Badgers are not expected to win often the pitching is good once again. Dan Haren, David Price, Madison Bumgarner, and Jordan Zimmermann are an excellent young first four in the rotation. Josh Johnson and former first round pick Brett Anderson will share the fifth spot. As long as Johnson can stay healthy this rotation will only continue to get better.
Projected Lineup:
C: Yadier Molina
1B: Freddie Freeman
2B: Freddy Sanchez
3B: Casey McGehee/Todd Frazier
SS: Yuniesky Betancourt
LF: Michael Brantley/Delmon Young
CF: Ben Revere/Casper Wells
RF: Jason Kubel
Projected Rotation/Closer:
SP: Dan Haren
SP: David Price
SP: Madison Bumgarner
SP: Jordan Zimmermann
SP: Brett Anderson
CL: Drew Storen
TBA 2012 Predictions: Mota Division
This is Part III of a IV part series. For Part I please click here, Part II here
Mota Division
1) Washington
Chances are that for the fourth consecutive year the rest of the Mota Division will be looking up at the Booze Hounds at seasons end. And if Troy Tulowitzki and company get their wish, a second TBA Championship banner will be flying soon in Washington. Despite losing Cy Young Award Winner Adam Wainwright for the year, Washington still has the best pitching in baseball to go along with a devastating lineup. Once again Carlos Gonzalez, Robinson Cano, Ryan Zimmerman, Joe Mauer, and 2010 LHL MVP Troy Tulowitzki will form the bulk of a lineup that could score 1000 runs in their new ballpark. We here at TBA Blog have projected this team to win 119 games, which would only be second most in history to their 2010 team.
Projected Lineup:
C: Joe Mauer/Rod Barajas
1B: Mark Teixeira
2B: Robinson Cano
3B: Ryan Zimmerman
SS: Troy Tulowitzki
LF: Carlos Gonzalez
CF: Shane Victorino
RF: Matt Joyce/Jason Bourgeois
Projected Rotation/Closer:
SP: Tim Hudson
SP: Chris Carpenter
SP: Yovani Gallardo
SP: Alexi Ogando
SP: Alfredo Aceves
CL: Mariano Rivera
2) Brighton
The defending TBA Champion Bearcats will have their work cut out for them this year. They have revamped their lineup to avoid injuries and some down years from players and have a new look coming into the season. Miguel Cabrera anchors the lineup while newcomers Ben Zobrist, Elvis Andrus, and Emilio Bonafacio fill out the rest of the infield. Cole Hamels and Justin Masterson form a nice 1-2 punch at the top of the rotation that will keep opposing teams from scoring. While a wild card spot will not be easy to win, Brighton should have enough to be playing in October.
Projected Lineup:
C: Yorvit Torrealba/Ryan Hanigan
1B: Miguel Cabrera
2B: Ben Zobrist
3B: Emilio Bonafacio
SS: Elvis Andrus
LF: David Murphy/Chris Young
CF: Dexter Fowler
RF: Shin-Soo Choo
Projected Rotation/Closer:
SP: Cole Hamels
SP: Justin Masterson
SP: Jon Lester
SP: Max Scherzer
SP: Livan Herandez
CL: Joakim Soria
3) Oregon
The Beavers have never finished worse than third yet they have never won more than 82 games in a season. I don't expect that trend to break this year as they should finish right around .500 once again. Led by outfielder Carlos Beltran this team may have enough to surprise and battle for a wild card spot although that ultimately depends on if the pitching can rise to the occasion. Philip Humber and Josh Tomlin should have good years but Mark Buehrle and Colby Lewis are the key. If Lewis and Buerhle can pitch as they have in the past than they might be able to taste October baseball this year.
Projected Lineup:
C: Brayan Pena/Lou Marson
1B: Derrek Lee/Michael Morse
2B: Orlando Hudson/Ryan Theriot
3B: Daniel Descalso/Placido Polanco
SS: Jimmy Rollins
LF: Michael Morse/Juan Pierre
CF: Marlon Byrd/Endy Chavez
RF: Carlos Beltran
Projected Rotation/Closer:
SP: Mark Buehrle
SP: Colby Lewis
SP: Philip Humber
SP: Josh Tomlin
SP: Jason Hammel
CL: Heath Bell
4) Nassau
The G-Men are much improved this season following two consecutive sub-60 win seasons. Mike Napoli had an excellent spring and could be poised to become one of the top catchers in the game this season. With Napoli, Mark Reynolds and Corey Hart this team does have a real good middle of the order. Add exciting youngsters Ruben Tejada and Brett Lawrie and this team has a very good offense. Pitching will make or break this team. Zach Greinke heads the rotation followed by Daniel Hudson and Hiroki Kuroda. John Axford will take the closing duties for the team this year followed by a collection of veteran arms in Jason Isringhausen, Dan Wheeler, and Jason Frasor. If they can add another starting pitcher and some bullpen arms this team could position itself to compete for a wild card spot.
Projected Lineup:
C: Mike Napoli
1B: Carlos Pena/Gaby Sanchez
2B: Daniel Murphy/Ruben Tejada
3B: Mark Reynolds/Brett Lawrie
SS: Jhonny Peralta
LF: Brennan Boesch/JD Martinez
CF: Ryan Sweeney/Coco Crisp
RF: Lucas Duda/Corey Hart
Projected Rotation/Closer:
SP: Zach Greinke
SP: Hiroki Kuroda
SP: Daniel Hudson
SP: Luke Hochevar
SP: Jeff Karstens
CL: John Axford
5) Mackinaw
Owner Mike Kaminski took over this team in the off-season and immediately started a change within this organization. He was able to bring in young talents such as Eric Hosmer, Mike Moustakas and Jason Kipnis to help jumpstart this rebuilding project. Pitchers Brandon McCarthy and Paul Maholm give them some nice pitchers atop the rotation that could be moved during the season for some more young talent. Overall this will be a tough season for this team but they are moving in the right direction under this new ownership. With a solid group now in place this team might be able to turn it around as soon as next season.
Projected Lineup:
C: Miguel Olivo/Ronny Paulino
1B: Eric Hosmer
2B: Jason Kipnis/Aaron Miles
3B: Mike Moustakas/Brent Morel
SS: Clint Barmes
LF: Nate Schierholtz/Dave Sappelt
CF: Ezequiel Carrera/Angel Pagan
RF: David DeJesus/Vernon Wells
Projected Rotation/Closer:
SP: Brandon McCarthy
SP: Paul Maholm
SP: Carl Pavano
SP: Chris Volstad
SP: Wade Davis
CL: Octavio Dotel
TBA 2012 Predictions: Baines Division
This is Part II of a IV part series. For Part I please click here
Baines Division
1) San Antonio
This division race will go down to the wire but the Alamos may have enough to capture their second division title. While the offense may be lacking a bit San An management believes their pitching is strong enough to lead them deep into October. Ace Clayton Kershaw has matured and is probably the best pitcher in the league not named Justin Verlander. Kershaw is followed in the rotation by four strong rotation mates including rookie Ryan Vogelsong. Newcomer Paul Konerko and Lance Berkman will provide most of the offensive firepower with star center-fielder Andrew McCutchen leading off. JJ Putz was brought over to San An in an off-season trade with Napa and displaces Carlos Marmol as the closer.
Projected Lineup:
C: Miguel Montero/Chris Iannetta
1B: Paul Konerko
2B: Chase Utley/Ryan Roberts
3B: Ryan Roberts/Alberto Callaspo
SS: Alcides Escobar
LF: Lance Berkman/Jason Bay
CF: Andrew McCutchen
RF: Josh Reddick/Jon Jay
DH: Travis Hafner/Lance Berkman
Projected Rotation/Closer:
SP: Clayton Kershaw
SP: Shaun Marcum
SP: Josh Beckett
SP: Ryan Vogelsong
SP: Mike Leake
CL: JJ Putz
2) Vero Beach
While the San An pitching staff may be good, the Bums staff is even better. Verlander, Jered Weaver, and CJ Wilson make up the best top three in the TBA. Former LHL Cy Young award winner Javier Vazquez and Matt Harrison round out the rotation although they are good enough to lead some other teams rotations. The bullpen is lead by Joel Peralta, Mark Melancon, and Francisco Rodriguez. Their lineup features standout players such as Brian McCann, Brandon Phillips, and Michael Young as they attempt to make it back to the TBA playoffs for the fourth consecutive year.
Projected Lineup:
C: Brian McCann
1B: Victor Martinez
2B: Brandon Phillips
3B: Michael Young
SS: Yunel Escobar
LF: Will Venable/Nelson Cruz
CF: BJ Upton
RF: Torii Hunter
DH: Edwin Encarnacion
Projected Rotation/Closer:
SP: Justin Verlander
SP: Jered Weaver
SP: CJ Wilson
SP: Javier Vazquez
SP: Matt Harrison
CL: Francisco Rodriguez
3) Halifax
The Mooseheads knocked on the door last year but ultimately fell just short of obtaining the second wild card spot. This year they are on a mission to reverse that. Slugger Jose Bautista leads the best offense in the division. Joining him are a healthy Jacoby Ellsbury, Starlin Castro, rookie Desmond Jennings, and Aramis Ramirez. Roy Halladay once again leads this rotation and will be looking to rebound from a 12-15 season last year. Mike Adams is the best relief ace in the EML and will shut down any fires that arise. Along with Adams, Jason Motte, David Hernandez, Chris Sale, and Casey Janssen easily give them the best bullpen in the league. Look for Halifax to challenge for the division title. I would not be surprised to see the Baines division wind up with three teams over 90 victories this season.
Projected Lineup:
C: Jonathan Lucroy/JP Arencibia
1B: Adam Lind/Miguel Cairo
2B: Aaron Hill
3B: Chase Headley
SS: Starlin Castro
LF: Desmond Jennings/Brent Lillibridge
CF: Jacoby Ellsbury
RF: Jose Bautista
DH: Aramis Ramirez
Projected Rotation/Closer:
SP: Roy Halladay
SP: Cory Luebke
SP: Bud Norris
SP: Chris Narveson
SP: Brandon Morrow
CL: Jason Motte
4) Kansas City
Last year the Bashers surprised everyone by taking three straight games from Vero Beach in the playoffs after losing the first two in the series. That's where the surprise party ended as they were swept by a strong Marines team. This year they are expecting to go back to the EMLCS, especially after acquiring Ian Kinsler. Ryan Braun will once again lead the offense with Alex Gordon, Alex Avila, Brett Gardner, and of course Kinsler. The top two men in the rotation James Shields and Gio Gonzalez will not be easy to beat but the rotation falls off a bit after that. I believe they will need to upgrade the back end of the rotation to make it back to the playoffs as they will need to at least break into the top 3 in the division and even then that might be enough.
Projected Lineup:
C: Alex Avila
1B: Brett Wallace/Carlos Lee
2B: Ian Kinsler
3B: Scott Rolen/David Freese
SS: Dee Gordon/Ian Desmond
LF: Ryan Braun
CF: Brett Gardner
RF: Alex Gordon
DH: Vladimir Guerrero/Hideki Matsui
Projected Rotation/Closer:
SP: James Shields
SP: Gio Gonzalez
SP: Derek Holland
SP: Aaron Harang
SP: Bartolo Colon
CL: Brian Wilson
5) Helena
Helena finished in last place last season and unfortunately it could be more of the same in 2012. However new addition Dustin Ackley should provide an immediate spark to an offense that scored a league worst 657 runs last season. They were also able to add rightfielder Nick Markakis. Improvements from Peter Bourjos and Casey Kotchman will add to an improved offense. The pitching rotation is where this team will need the most help if they want to compete this season. RA Dickey is the ace of the staff and he just does not fall on the same level as the #1s from the other four teams in the division. A strong bullpen led by Rafael Betancourt should provide the relief and could keep this team in contention late in the year.
Projected Lineup:
C: John Buck/Jason Varitek
1B: Casey Kotchman
2B: Dustin Ackley/Omar Infante
3B: Adrian Beltre
SS: Jason Bartlett
LF: Andre Ethier/Austin Jackson
CF: Peter Bourjos
RF: Nick Markakis
DH: Billy Butler
Projected Rotation/Closer:
SP: RA Dickey
SP: Jaime Garcia
SP: Chad Billingsley
SP: Jason Vargas
SP: Kevin Correia
CL: Rafael Betancourt
Friday, March 30, 2012
TBA 2012 Predictions: Molitor Division
Molitor Division
1) Colorado Springs
No surprise here. The Marines have everything in place for a long run into October. An outstanding lineup will score a ton of runs in their home stadium. Not only do they have easily the best lineup in the league they boast one of the top pitching staffs as well. They are coming off a 98 win season and should easily reach the 100 win plateau this year.
Projected Lineup:
C: Carlos Ruiz/Matt Wieters
1B: Joey Votto
2B: Howie Kendrick
3B: Evan Longoria
SS: Erick Aybar/Alex Gonzalez
LF: Gerardo Parra
CF: Matt Kemp
RF: Justin Upton
DH: Albert Pujols
Projected Rotation/Closer:
SP: Matt Cain
SP: Cliff Lee
SP: Johnny Cueto
SP: Felix Hernandez
SP: Jake Peavy
CL: Daniel Bard
2) Lafayette
Mickey Boone inherits a team that is ready to compete. And good thing too as he will be without his top picks next season. But the focus is on 2012. Led by second baseman Dustin Pedroia and right-fielder Mike (Giancarlo) Stanton this team does not lack for offense. Reigning EML Rookie of the Year winner Ian Kennedy will anchor the rotation once again with relief ace Craig Kimbrel shutting the door on opponents in the ninth. With the division a long shot the Leopards will need to battle it out for a wild card spot in what could end up being one of the best races in league history. However when all is said and done, I expect them to being playing in October
Projected Lineup:
C: Russell Martin/Salvador Perez
1B: Todd Helton
2B: Dustin Pedroia
3B: Chipper Jones/Mike Aviles
SS: Asdrubal Cabrera
LF: Nolan Reimold/John Mayberry Jr.
CF: Adam Jones/Drew Stubbs
RF: Mike Stanton
DH: Dan Uggla/Michael Cuddyer
Projected Rotation/Closer:
SP: Ian Kennedy
SP: Kyle Lohse
SP: Jhoulys Chacin
SP: Ervin Santana
SP: Carlos Villanueva
CL: Craig Kimbrel
3) Evanston
The Wildcats should improve following an EML worst 104 losses last season. Rookies Michael Pineda and Jemile Weeks provide this team with good young talent that could help jumpstart this team. A much improved Curtis Granderson will team up with Matt Holliday and David Ortiz in the middle of the order. A The success of this team will hinge with the starting rotation. A strong top four of Ricky Romero, Jeremy Hellickson, Matt Garza, and the aforementioned Pineda will challenge opposing teams to score runs and could push this team to a playoff appearance this season.
Projected Lineup:
C: Josh Thole/Jose Molina
1B: James Loney/Jeff Baker
2B: Jemile Weeks/Darwin Barney
3B: Robert Andino
SS: Stephen Drew
LF: Matt Holliday
CF: Curtis Granderson
RF: Carl Crawford/Rajai Davis
DH: David Ortiz
Projected Rotation/Closer:
SP: Ricky Romero
SP: Michael Pineda
SP: Matt Garza
SP: Jeremy Hellickson
SP: Jonathan Sanchez
CL: Jordan Walden
4) Napa
The ever changing Winers are in the middle of a rebuild and, after trading away star 2B Ian Kinsler, looks like they are already looking toward 2013 and beyong. Having said that, there is a lot of talent on this roster and when (if?) they put it all together they will be a very good team in the near future. Wilson Ramos, Brandon Belt, and Jason Heyward could be three stars in the making for this team. In addition they have put together an excellent 1-2 punch in the bullpen with David Robertson and Kenley Jansen. David Wright is the veteran of this group however I would not expect to see him with the team when Napa does return to the postseason. Management has added many reclamation projects to this group of youngsters who if they bounce back could provide strong trade value for the team.
Projected Lineup:
C: Wilson Ramos
1B: Matt LaPorta/Brandon Belt
2B: Gordon Beckham
3B: David Wright
SS: Brendan Ryan
LF: Jose Tabata
CF: Jeff Francouer/Carlos Gomez
RF: Jason Heyward/Jeff Francouer
DH: Logan Morrison
Projected Rotation/Closer:
SP: Tommy Hanson
SP: Randy Wolf
SP: Francisco Liriano
SP: Edwin Jackson
SP: Jonathan Niese
CL: Kenley Jansen
5) Bowling Green
Like Napa, the Bowlers are currently in year 2 of a rebuild. Aging iron man Derek Jeter is the big name of the group but rising stars Cameron Maybin, Mitch Moreland, and Jose Altuve should be able to show off their skills this season as well. Jed Lowrie and Dominic Brown will be waiting in the wings as well. The Bowlers return ace CC Sabathia to pitch every fifth day for the team. Alongside him will be two youngsters in Dillon Gee and 1st round draft pick Brandon Beachy. Both have bright futures ahead of them. Exciting fireballer Aroldis Chapman joins the bullpen and fan favorite Jarrod Dyson will once again create absolute havoc on the basepaths as the pinch running specialist.
Projected Lineup:
C: Jarrod Saltalamacchia/Kurt Suzuki
1B: Mitch Moreland
2B: Kelly Johnson/Jose Altuve
3B: Casey Blake
SS: Derek Jeter
LF: Eric Thames/Kyle Blanks
CF: Cameron Maybin
RF: Ryan Ludwick
DH: Jim Thome/Pat Burrell
Projected Rotation/Closer:
SP: CC Sabathia
SP: Gavin Floyd
SP: Brandon Beachy
SP: Dillon Gee
SP: Bronson Arroyo
CL: Neftali Feliz
Sunday, March 25, 2012
Reno's Real 2012 Outlook
2012 brings them back to reality as several career years and a flurry of platoon goodness have been washed away and an air of uncertainty has prevailed.
Here's a look at the 2012 Aces:
Catcher - Carlos Santana will man the position with about as much skill as 42 year old Molina, without the arm. Good thing he can hit. And walk. The righty splits aren't great though and it could be a long season of lots of times on base and not a lot of RBI's.
First Base - Nick Swisher will hold down first and he has similar problems to Santana without the future upside. He'll be serviceable until future studs like Anthony Rizzo develop their Major League swing.
Second Base - Jamey Carroll continues to be a pesky little offensive player with pretty good defensive skills. This is a position that will need an upgrade in Reno in the near future.
Third Base - Kevin Youkilis still gets on base and can still hit. Problem is that lately he's about a gimpy fracker. Hopefully his health returns and he can bring that .900 plus OPS back to Reno.
Shortstop - Marco Scutaro is another veteran stand-in until Reno can build some young depth at the middle infield positions. Cliff Pennington looks to assume the role in 2013 as Scutaro moves back to Second.
Infield Depth - Not great at this time. We thought we might have something with Scott Sizemore, who also can take a base in great SABRmetric style, but it looks like his 2012 season was done before it even got started. Luckily we have a few other youngsters that should get some serious playing time this year in the bigs including Chase D'Arnaud, Jesus Guzman, and Jimmy Paredes. Paredes looks to be moving back to Second as well and will start out the season in AAA. Maybe second base will be a overloaded position in 2013.
Leftfield - Melky Cabrera had a career year in 2011 and if he can hit in Kansas City, he should be able to hit in San Francisco. Most pundits are suggesting that 2011 might be the best you will ever see out of Melky. I am hoping it was just the first of several great years. If his 2012 spring is indicative, it looks like Melky might have finally figured it out.
Centerfield - Josh Hamilton can hit a ton and will continue to hit a ton until his body fails him. The bad news for Josh is that if he checked to see his Wii Fit age he'd be a Grandpa. Too much bad stuff at too young an age will definitely shorten his career. Here's hoping we get a few more good years out of him.
Rightfield - Jay Bruce also appears to be getting it together. The slugging is there and the on base is catching up. I'd like to see less swings and misses so the average goes up, but 32 homeruns and 100 rbi's is serviceable. The gold glove fielding numbers help too.
Outfield Depth - Not a lot needed in 2012 as we're pretty covered. Heisey and his constant search for a swing will provide good results at homer friendly Camden Yards. We also have some serious comeback candidates in Luke Scott, Aubrey Huff, and Adam Dunn.
Starting Pitching - With Tim Lincecum and Mat Latos as our number 1 and 2 we will win a lot of games. With Jeremy Guthrie and Ubaldo Jiminez as our numbers 3 and 4 we will lose a lot of games. Number 5 is alive, or in our case Worley and Mosely. They should provide better results with our offense than our middle of the rotation pitchers.
Relief Pitching - We took a pitcher in the second round who managed to default his way to a closer spot and has a great 2011 card in Greg Holland. Holland, Venters, and Valverde are the Aces only hope to pull off some victories when Guthrie and Jiminez pitch. Not a lot of teams have that much talent at the end of the game.
Pitching Depth - We have some youngsters who still might make it including Brian Matusz, who's velocity is back up after a dismal 2011, as well as potential success stories such as James McDonald, Dan Runzler, and Edison Volquez (who am I kidding, I am rooting for a Jiminez bounce back and praying for the rest).
All in all the Aces have a serviceable team and lineup that should win 80 to 90 games. It should all play out within the first few months of the season as to what the 2012 season holds and whether we can contend or we should move onto 2013. If we move on, you could see names like Holland or Cabrera moved before the trade deadline. Currently a lot of this team reminds me of the old guys sipping ensure in that Clint Eastwood outerspace movie. Bottoms up!
Tuesday, March 20, 2012
Kansas City Looks to Build on LCS Run
Friday, March 16, 2012
Oregon Beavers Preview
Wednesday, March 14, 2012
Napa Winers Team Preview... smells like vomit! Read at own risk.
After assembling a offensive powerhouse, Napa management decided to tear it apart and start over with a different philosophy. The problem with the offensive juggernaut that WAS the Napa Winers, THEY COULDN'T FIELD!!!! It was 2-run homer or nothing. Napa got tired of seeing the dreaded "so and so couldn't get to it, single... so and so couldn't get to it, double plus error" results.
Then Napa couldn't figure out who exactly they wanted and thus the roster has been a revolving door, hence not being able to contribute to the "who do you still have" conversation. To be honest with you, since I am not around my roster, I am going to leave somebody off of this preview because I am not entirely sure who exactly IS on my team!!! So without further adooooooooodooooooooodooooo adaaaaaadaaaaaaadaaaaaaaa... Sorry, got sidetracked.
Stadium change- Napa, realizing it could no longer hope to outslug its opponents has decided to relocate from the cozy confines of the little league park in Colorado (recently sold to Washington), and moved to the much more spacious park in Washington. Hopefully we will one day be able to assemble a respectable starting staff to benefit from this move.
C- Napa acquired Wilson Ramos to handle the majority of the catching duties this year and for the future. The young backstop is hopefully over his kidnapping and will be able to return to normal and build on the promise he showed as a rookie. The backups, I think are Posada and Stewart. Posada should be valuable as a bat against righties, and stewart can get on base decently against lefties and provides a decent arm. But neither figures to get much time as Ramos is the now, and the future.
1B- It was going to be Matt Laporta and maybe some Logan Morrison. But Napa made a deal to bring in Brandon Belt. So it will be Laporta and Belt. Hopefully Bruce Bochy will get off whatever he is on and let Belt play this year. If Belt lives up to the potential he has shown in the minor leagues, he will anchor first base for a number of years in the future. He also gives some flexibility with his OF experience. Laporta? He just stinks and is just a source of AB's. Morrison? read about him later now that he doesn't have to show off his range at first anymore.
2B- Not long here, but long gone is Ian Kinsler. In comes Gordon "will you ever get it together" Beckham. Well, that's not completely fair. He can field a bit, so that's good. After struggling through having Uggla and Keppinger at 2B in recent seasons, Beckham's defense is a welcome addition. He is still young, and hopefully he will be able to find his hitting ability again and live up to some of his promise he showed when he was a highly touted prospect.
3B- David Wright, welcome aboard. Napa management brought on board a player who, if he can remain healthy, can anchor its lineup. Hopefully he can stay healthy and give a full season of at-bats this year and put up similar production to what he has in the past. The remodeled park in N.Y. should help (they moved the fences in in case you hadn't heard).
SS- Brendan Ryan, field... that's all we're paying you to do. Which is good, because that is pretty much all he can do! I am not sure, but I think I also picked up Brandon Crawford in the draft who we are also paying to do the same thing because again, that's all he can do. Which is fine for now.
OF- Hodge podge of guys... Sam Fuld, Carlos Gomez, Grady Sizemore (that gamble is paying off nicely already!!!), Jason Heyward, Jeff Francoeur, hopefully not much of Logan Morrison... Have some defense in Fuld and Gomez, have some offense in Francoeur (here's to a repeat of last season this season!!!), and have some promise in Heyward. Hopefully (I keep saying that, I know) Heyward can bounce back and keep the nagging injuries away long enough to live up to the hype and promise that he showed his rookie year. Hopefully Francoeur can repeat his 2011 performance in 2012. He also isn't that old, seems like he has been around forever. Going to love having a cannon in RF. Gomez would be awesome if he didn't think he was a homerun hitter, but the guy is a stud in the field. Fuld, I wish he had the skills that some of these other guys have. The guy hustles and busts his butt and again can play some defense. Grady Sizemore, I was hoping would make it through spring training without getting hurt but alas, he can't. Such a shame the poor guy can't stay healthy because when healthy he was one of the best players in the game.
DH- Logan Morrison. The guy can tweet. The guy can hit. The guy CANNOT field. Good thing I am in the AL and he can DH. Hopefully he continues to progress at the plate and hopefully he and his new manager can co-exist. There is plenty of offense around him in Flor... errr, Miami in Stanton, Sanchez, Bonifacio, Reyes, HanRam... so he should see plenty of pitches to hit.
SP- Tommy Hanson, Jonathan Niese, Mike Pelfrey, Clay Buchholz, Francisco Liriano, Edwin Jackson, some other guys... If Tommy Hanson can stay healthy, if Francisco Liriano can stay healthy, if Edwin Jackson can turn into a little bit less of Livan Hernandez (too many hits allowed), if Clay Buchholz can stay healthy, and if Niese can continue to grow then this staff should be halfway decent next season. That is a lot of if's, but at least one or two of them have to pan out right?
Pen- Kenley Jansen, David Robertson, Ross Detwiler, Boone Logan, uh oh, I forget who else... oh well, doesn't really matter. Kenley Jansen is one of the few guys who people have tried to get from me that I have shut the door on immediately. The guy can mow people down. Hopefully his heart can hold up and he doesn't die. Jansen is the closer of the future, and by default, the closer of the present. Robertson, Detwiler, Logan, and the other guys will all have plenty of innings pitched this year trying to bail out the starters listed above.
Outlook- For this year, blah. For the future, there is a bit of light on the horizon. In its rebuild, Napa thinks it has assembled some nice pieces for a successful future. Heyward, Ramos, Morrison, Francoeur, Beckham, Belt, and Wright have Napa's management feeling somewhat confident that the team will be sound in the field, and in the batter's box in the near future. Hanson, Niese, Liriano, Jackson, and Buchholz have the potential to be a solid, above average rotation if they can find a way to kick the injury bug that has a hold of most of them. And Jansen and Robertson are two solid bullpen fixtures to build a team around.
So the future looks bright, although it is still a season or two or maybe 3 away. Outlook for this year, not so much... expected record is about 70-92. Which may be a good thing because Napa management has not traded its first round pick for 2013, and it should be a good one.
Tuesday, March 13, 2012
2012 Oahu Glorious Wonders Remake Hollywood Classic
SPOILER ALERT: Reading past this point will reveal key details of the upcoming season.
Starting Lineup
C- Nick Hundley/A. J. Pierzynski- Catching was a weak spot in 2011 and the Wonders were looking to upgrade. Hundley, in his third year with the team, bounced back with a solid hiting performance and Pierzynski was acquired in the draft to replace long gone Jason Kendall. Looks like a solid combination this year for the Glorious Ones.
1B-Prince Fielder- The TBA Career Batting Leaders has not been updated on the TBA website (hint, hint) but rumor has it that Prince is the league's 2nd leading HR hitter. He should have another productive year in 2012, however Amalgmated Field's towering right field wall could prove problematic.
2B- Neil Walker/Angel Sanchez- Another platoon. Why? Because Walker struggles against lefties (and he's not really all that great versus right handers either). Still, he's got above average range and sure hands, so things could be a lot worse. Sanchez, a singles hittler who can also play short and third will give the team some late inning defensive options.
3B- Pablo Sandoval/Willie Harris- See above. Pablo, for all his solid defens and switch hitting wonderfulness, like Walker, turns turn jello versus lefties. Harris, on the other hand, handle righties OK, but lacks Sandoval's power.
SS- Alexei Ramirez/Hanley Ramiriez- See above and above that. For the second year in a row, the Ramirez brothers share the short stopping duties. This time, Alexei has the glove and Hanley hits the lefties.
LF- Shelley Duncan, Reed Johnson, Jonny Gomes, Willie Harris- Hard to believe, but yes, all these fellas will see at least a 200 PAs worth of playing time this year.
CF- Alex Presley, Bryan Peterson, Denard Span- see above.
RF- Garrett Jones, Carlos Quentin- see above and above and above and above etc. etc. etc.
Bench
C- Ivan Rodriguez- With his rifle arm, he should provide solid defensive backup come September.
1B- Shelley Duncan- Put Duncan in the right situation and he's a very dangerous man. He could see some PAs in clutch situations in homer friendly ballparks on the road. In other words, he's been expecting to keep the dugout bench warm most of the season.
OF- Martin Prado, nursing a bad bat, will likely see little playing time this year.
Starters
#1 Doug Fister
#2 Josh Collmenter
#3 Guillermo Moscoso
#4 Anibal Sanchez
#5 Tim Stauffer
#6 Charlie Morton
Not a bad bunch, really. Pretty damn good by Wonder standards, actually. It's the team's first sub-4.00 ERA staff and Fister's the first sub-3.00 ERA starter in club history. (You can look it up…) Team defense will help these guys and so will Amalgamated Field, but will the club's hitters? Only time will tell.
Bullpen
With five lefties and six righties, it's a nice mix of specialists.
Jonathon Papelbone bounces back this year to handle the closer duties along with Brian Fuentes and Matt Lindstrom.
Steve Cishek will see most of his innings as the setup guy. He'll have help from minor league callups Josh Spence, Troy Patton, Jason Grilli and Anthony Varvaro. This bunch should hold most leads except against the strongest competition.
Jamie Wright, Phil Coke and Tom Gorzelanny will likely handle mop up duties.
Team Strengths: Nothing really stands out. Hitting, pitching and defense are all pretty good. Not much new to say.
Team Weakness: That awful sound you hear coming from Amalgamated Field? It's the sound of wailing and gnashing of teeth eminating from the outfield. Can you say "platoon"? It's pretty ugly. The Wonders drafted 6 OFers to add to the 5 other OFers (or should it be MFers?) already on the roster plus they added Reed Johnson via trade and still the place is a mess. The team needs consistent run prodution from at least one of the OF positions but despite all the effort, it jus' ain't happenin'.
Overall: The idea was to load up the bases for Fielder and Sandoval to drive 'em home. Whether that happens is questionable. Amalgmated Field tends to be very unkind toward left handed home run hitters. There's talk of a new ballpark, but how can you give up that beautiful view of Pearl Harbor? (The team's IT and Graphics department may be called upon next year for a solution). Barring a blockbuster trade, it doesn't look like the team will produce enough runs this year.The starting pitching, bullpen and defense are all above average. But "pretty good" doesn't win championships. How this team fairs will likely depend on how well they can do against the weaker teams. If they make the playoffs, a lot will depend on their luck.
Prediction: 3rd Place in the LHL Vander Wal Division.
Bums Back For More Fun!
- Justin Verlander
- Jered Weaver
- C.J. Wilson
- Javier Vazquez
- Matt Harrison
Mackinaw Islanders 2012 Preview
Bob Vila returned to this Old House, err, I mean this Old Bridge, and tore the place apart. The review will focus on the remants, followed by our green efforts to recycle players with other clubs, and finally, new additions to the Island.
Remnants
The Islanders front office chose to keep just 25% of the roster intact from 2011. Some have defined roles for 2012: Carl Pavano will eat starts and innings, anchoring an untested rotation. Aaron Miles, Angel Pagan and David Dejesus will fill the lineup card at 2B, CF and RF. Management doesn't visualize more than one having a meaningful role come next season. Rafeal Furcal and Ronny Paulino will get spot duty at shortstop and catcher respectively. Edward Mujica and Octvio Dotel will hold rare Islander leads, with Kyle Kendrick serving as a stopgap for the 5th-8th innings.
There is projection for a handful of Islanders, starting with Kendry Morales. The oft-injured first sacker looks for a comeback season behind Eric Hosmer. Assuming Morales plays more than 50 games, this would be a net Islander gain in 2013. Pedro Alvarez's opportunities are wide open, only equaled by his penchant for squandering them. The poweful slugger is in a three way battle for 2013 starter. He could just turn out.
Finally, Paul Maholm has been shopped, chopped and dropped, with no bidders. He'll twirl for the Islanders, allowing us to play for bread and circus every other Thursday, and the occasional Sunday. He's still available for someone making a post-season drive.
Green Efforts: Recycled Players
Miguel Olivo, Clint Barmes, Brent Morel and Nate Schierholtz were acquired to fill out our lineup, and not embarass defensively. Management understands with Olivo and Barmes; what you see is what you'll get. Now, Brent Morel has a bit of room for growth offensively. For 2012, we'll enjoy the glovework. Nate the Great may yet receive additional reps near the Golden Gate. We'd be happy with 400 PA and solid glovework, again, soastonotembarasspotentialinvestors.
Ideally, Wade Davis and Chris Volstad would remain starting pitchers that throw 20 more IP, reduce baserunners and improve K-BB. Realistically, if one remained a starter and both showed incremental improvement, it would help the Islanders 2013 pitching corps.
Brand New Additions to the Island
What do you do with a team that finishes 70-92 for two seasons in a row? First, guage compeition and the chances of reaching the post-season. Check. Not happenin'. Second, ask ourselves: Would one draft get us to that level? Check. Nope. Third, tear it ALL down and start over. So that's what we did.
With exception of shortstop, the Islanders stocked the lineup with potential starters or young complimentary players. I think the additions of Eric Hosmer and Jason Kipnis add two, heady, long-term,offensive players. Mike Moustakas and Johnny Giavotella could give us extra depth at third base and second base respectively. Neither are slouches; it's the degree their remaining holes are exposed or filled that they'll help us.
Our outfield and catching situation wasn't addressed by quality, so we opted to try out quantity. Willin Rosario impressed Rockies management enough to gain some PA down the stretch despite a queasy minor league season. Robinson Chirinos came late to the catching party. He just may grab 200 PA and be resourceful with it.
Joe Benson, Dave Sappelt, Travis Snider and Ezequiel Carrera are either blocked at the MLB level or have shown stretches of middling performance. We'd be estatic if one part-time player blossomed from this group for 2013.
So, I'm nearing the end of this preview, and feeling strange, yet having a calm come over me. We won't surprise anyone in 2012. There is no amount of platooning or trades that will rescue us and create a winning season. Our games will be significantly meaningful.........to the opposition. I began this off-season with the end result in mind. I won't make a promise as to when that 'end result' will happen. I will promise to help this team play with emotion and grittiness while we build.
We drafted the following rotational hopefuls:
Righties: Randall Delgado, Jordan Lyles, Brandon McCarthy, Lance Lynn. I forsee one being great, one being good, and two blowing up. Can't match up the names with the prognostications just yet.
Lefties: J.A. Happ, Travis Wood, Duane Below and Joe Paterson. Happiness would be someone churning out a nice solid Randy Wolfish season, replete with 220ip. If we could manufacture another 40 ip loogy, that'd be pretty, pretty, pretty good.
Rock Bottom: Joel Piniero and Jon Rauch appear to be in line for jobs in the Phils and Mets pen. We could use a closer. Not that we'd know what to do with it. Sort of like my first time walking 42nd Street. These new pitchers will have roles assigned based on block-by-block need.
All in all, we think we have the foundation of the place secured. There's a few stories that have a very loose frame. We want to get the walls up and insulated for '13.
Monday, March 12, 2012
Reno - 2012 Outlook
Good luck to all my fellow yahoos in 2012.
Thanks,
Rich
Washington Boozehounds 2012 Preview
- Adam Wainwright was lost for the year prior to the season.
- Joe Mauer is injured and will only be available for about half the season.
Draft: Going into the draft WAS was looking for the following pieces:
- Complementary catcher for Mauer.
- Part-time 3B to make up for Ryan Zimmerman's injury and AB shortage.
- 1st rate SP -- aren't we all!
- Lefty-bashing OF to spell Matt Joyce.
Picks for current value included Alfredo Aceves, Matt Downs, Jason Bourgeois, Rod Barajas, and Drew Sutton.
Finally, there are the combo picks (future plus present) of Lonnie Chisenhall, Dayan Viciedo, and AJ Ellis.
Starting Rotation: Pretty solid if not spectacular with Tim Hudson, Chris Carpenter, Y. Gallardo, Ogando, and Lilly. Aceves will see spot duty to augment inning shortages.
Bullpen: This is pretty scary. RHs: Salas, Chris Perez, Clippard, and Mariano Rivera. LHs: Glen Perkins and Eric O'Flaherty. When Chris Perez is your mop-up guy, the opposition may be in trouble in the late innings.
Catcher: Mauer is back for a solid half season with Barajas and Ellis backing him up against LH pitching. Mesoraco is pretty good insurance against another Mauer injury.
Infield: Here's where the Boozehounds are unparallelled: Zimmerman, Tulowitzki, Cano, and Teixeira are all top fielders and hitters at their position. Matt Downs (hitting) and Alberto Gonzalez (glove) were drafted to provide backup.
Outfield: Still a strength with Willingham, Victorino, Carlos Gonzalez, and Matt Joyce. Bourgeois joins as a platoon mate for Joyce and late inning SB threat.
Intangibles: Here's where Washington made the biggest upgrade! With SOM still believing that Citizen's Bank Park in Philadelphia is playing like a league-average stadium, the Boozehounds moved to Coors Field which will now be known as "The Drunk Tank". This will take massive advantage of our hitters' high BP HR numbers and play into our superb fielding and low pitching BP numbers. This change will have more positive effect on the team than nay player addition. Looking at Willingham's card numbers, he could hit 40 HRs at home.
Summary: With Reno and Brighton taking small steps backwards, Washington appears to be the class of the National League again, but we need to avoid the first round playoff jinx that has caught us in the short series the last two out of three seasons. Each game will be more of a challenge though with up-and-comers like Nassau, Mackinaw, and Delaware Valley; and the always well-managed Oahu and Edgewater teams. Gone are the days of 80 easy wins in the NL.
Prediction: In the words of Mr. T as Clubber Lang: "PAIN" for the rest of the NL at the Boozehounds new band box of a stadium. Have your bullpens rested when you come to town. It's hard to predict the personnel changes that will occur mid-season with the savvy NL GMs, but I feel confident saying that right now Washington looks the best on paper in the NL.
